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March 2023 - Calgary Real Estate Housing Market Update

Sales and new listings have improved over the levels reported at the beginning of the year. As a result, the spread between sales and new listings supported some expected monthly inventory level gains.
However, the 3,233 available units reflected the lowest March inventory levels since 2006 and left the months of supply just above one month, firmly in the seller’s territory.

While conditions are not as tight as last March, low inventory levels leave purchasers with limited choice, once again driving up home prices. Total unadjusted residential home prices reached $541,800 in March, a 2% gain over last month and nearly 1% higher than prices reported last year.

While prices remain below the May 2022 high of $546,000, the pace of price growth over the first quarter has been stronger than expected due to the persistent seller’s market conditions. March recorded 3,318 new listings compared to the 2,432 sales, leaving the sales-to-new listings ratio relatively high at 73%. However, both sales and new listings have eased by 40% compared to levels reported last March.

If you or someone you know have questions about how this may impact your home selling or buying decision, send me a message!⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠

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February 2023 - Calgary Real Estate Housing Market Update
New listings and inventory levels all trended up compared to last month, however, with 1,740 sales and 2,389 new listings, inventory levels improved only slightly over the last month and remained amongst the lowest February levels seen since 2006.

Both sales and new listings declined over last year’s record high for the month. While sales activity remained stronger than long-term trends and levels reported throughout the 2015 to 2020 period, new listings fell below long-term trends.

With a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 73% and a months of supply of under 2 months, the market has struggled to move into balanced territory causing further upward pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price increased by nearly 2% over January levels and last year’s prices.

If you or someone you know have questions about how this may impact your home selling or buying decision, send me a message!⁠ ⁠
Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
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January 2023 - Calgary Real Estate Market Update

The level of new listings in January fell to the lowest levels seen since the late 90s. Sales activity slowed compared to the high levels reported last year but remained consistent with long-term trends. Detached homes only comprised 47% of all sales.

With 2,451 units available in inventory, levels remain 43% lower than long-term trends for the month. Homes priced under $500,000 reported year over-year inventory declines of nearly 30% while inventory levels improved for homes prices above that level.

The benchmark price reached $520,900, 5% higher than last January, but still well below the May 2022 high of $546,000.

If you or someone you know have questions about how this may impact your home selling or buying decision, send me a message!

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠

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Read Full CREB Market Report⁠
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CREB Forecast Calgary & Region Yearly Outlook Report

“Elevated lending rates are expected to weigh on sales in 2023, bringing levels down from the record-high in 2022 but with forecasted sales of 25,921, levels are still expected to be higher than the activity reported before the pandemic. Recent growth in migration and employment is expected to help offset the impact of higher lending rates, keeping annual sales activity higher than levels achieved throughout the 2015 to 2019 period. The growth in new listings in 2022 was not enough to offset the gains in sales and supply levels have remained low, especially for lower-priced product. The higher lending rates are also expected to weigh on listings growth in 2023 as it has become more challenging for a move up buyer. While improved starts are expected to help support supply growth, thanks to the strong migration levels, supply levels are not expected to report significant gains.

The low starting point and limited upward pressure on supply in 2023 is expected to prevent any significant downward pressure on prices as demand normalizes. However, conditions are expected to vary depending on price range and property type. Higher-priced homes are expected to see some downward price pressure as that segment of the market is not experiencing the same supply constraints.Meanwhile, supply declines relative to sales for lower priced properties are expected to continue to support modest price growth. Declines in the upper end of the market are expected to offset gains in the lower end of the market as total residential prices in Calgary are expected to stabilize in 2023.”

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca

Read More | CREB Forecast Calgary & Region Yearly Outlook Report

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Outperforming The Market - Home Prices Faring Better in Prairies

"Across Canada, monthly average housing prices have tumbled almost 20% from their peak levels last year as several negative forces have touched down, including a series of interest rate hikes and a slowing economy. During the same period, housing prices in the Prairies dipped by an average of 6%. In Alberta, prices will decline 5.6% - averaging about $418,000."

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca

Read More | Outperforming The Market-Home Prices Faring Better in Prairies | Calgary Herald

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January 2023 - Bank of Canada Rate Announcement

The target for the overnight rate increased to 4.5%, with the Bank Rate at 4.75% and the deposit rate at 4.5%. Quantitative tightening will continue. Inflation remains high and broadly based globally, but is trending down in several countries, reflecting lower energy prices and improvements to supply chains.

In the US and Europe, slowing economies are proving to be more resilient than at the time of the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). China’s lifting of COVID-19 restrictions revised the growth forecast and poses an upside risk to commodity prices. Russia’s war on Ukraine is still a source of uncertainty and financial conditions remain restrictive. The Canadian dollar has been relatively stable against the US dollar.

It’s estimated that the global economy grew about 3.5% in 2022, but will slow to about 2% in 2023 and then grow to 2.5% in 2024. Economic growth in Canada is stronger and the economy remains in excess demand. The labour market is tight as the unemployment rate is near historic lows. Businesses, however, are reporting ongoing difficulty finding workers.

There’s evidence that the restrictive monetary policy is slowing activity, especially household spending. Services and business investments are expected too slow in addition to weaker foreign demand helping to allow supply to catch up with demand.

It’s estimated that Canada’s economy grew by 3.6% in 2022 but is expected to stall through to the middle of 2023, and then picking up again later in the year. GDP is expected to grow 1% in 2023 and 2% in 2024. Inflation has declined from 8.1% in June to 6.3% in December, reflecting lower gasoline prices and durable goods.

Canadians are still feeling the hardship of high inflation in their essential household expenses, with persistent price increases for food and shelter. Short-term inflation is expected to remain elevated but inflation is projected to come down significantly this year.

Governing Council decided to increase the policy interest rate by a further 25 basis points. Governing Council is prepared to increase the policy rate further if needed to return inflation to the 2% target, and remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.

Reach out with your questions in regards to how this impacts your home buying or selling decision.

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠

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December 2022 - CREA Canadian Housing Market Snapshot
“The bulk of the downward adjustment to sales reacting to the sharp rise in borrowing costs may be in the rearview mirror,” says Shaun Cathcart, CREA’s Senior Economist, as home sales were up 1.3% on a month-over-month basis in December 2022.

Wondering how this impacts your home buying or selling decision? Are you interested in moving out of the province? Connect with me to discuss your options and for a trusted referral.⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca 
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December 2022 - Calgary Real Estate Market Update

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December sales eased, but slowing sales over the 2nd half of 2022 were not enough to offset earlier gains as sales reached a record high of 29,672 units in 2022.The pullback in sales was also met with pullback in new listings, causing further declines in inventory levels. As of December, there were 2,214 units available, making it the lowest level of inventory reported for December in over a decade.

Benchmark prices eased to $518,800, down nearly 5% from the peak price in May but almost 8% higher than last December. While prices have trended down annually, they remain over 12% higher than last year’s levels. Overall, the housing market in 2022 generally outperformed expectations both in terms of sales and price growth.

If you or someone you know have questions about how this may impact your home selling or buying decision, send me a message!⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠

Read Full CREB Market Report
Home Evaluation Form
Search for your home today

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December 2022 - Bank of Canada Rate Announcement

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The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 4.25%, with the Bank Rate at 4.5% and the deposit rate at 4.25%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.⁠

Inflation around the world remains high and broadly based. Global economic growth is slowing, although it is proving more resilient than was expected at the time of the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). ⁠

In Canada, GDP growth in the 3rd quarter was stronger than expected, and the economy continued to operate in excess demand. Canada’s labor market remains tight, with unemployment near historic lows. ⁠

While commodity exports have been strong, there is growing evidence that tighter monetary policy is restraining domestic demand: consumption moderated in the third quarter, and housing market activity continues to decline. ⁠

Overall, the data since the October MPR support the Bank’s outlook that growth will essentially stall through the end of this year and the first half of next year.⁠

CPI inflation remained at 6.9% in October, with many of the goods and services Canadians regularly buy showing large price increases. Measures of core inflation remain around 5%. ⁠

Looking ahead, Governing Council will be considering whether the policy interest rate needs to rise further to bring supply and demand back into balance and return inflation to target. ⁠

Quantitative tightening is complementing increases in the policy rate. We are resolute in our commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target and restoring price stability for Canadians.⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠

Read Full Report 
Home Evaluation Form
Search for your home today

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November 2022 - Calgary Real Estate Market Update

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Sales slowed to 1,648 units, a year-over-year decline of 22%, but 12% above the 10-year average. Year-to-date sales remain nearly 10% above last year’s record high. The year-to-date sales growth has been driven by a surge in both⁠ apartment condominium and row sales.⁠

There was a pullback in new listings and inventories fell to the⁠ lowest level reported in November since 2005. The pullback in both sales and new listings kept the months of supply relatively tight at below two months. ⁠

The tightest conditions are occurring in the lower-price ranges as supply growth has mostly been driven by gains in the upper end of the market.

Despite the lower supply levels, prices have trended down from the peak reached in May of this year. Even with the adjustments that have occurred, November benchmark prices continue to remain nearly nine per cent higher than levels reported last year.⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠⁠

Read Full CREB Market Report⁠
Home Evaluation Form
Search for your home today!

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October 2022 - CREA Housing Market Snapshot

“Sales actually popped up from September to October, and the decline in prices on a month-to-month basis got smaller for the fourth month in a row,” says CREA’s Senior Economist, Shaun Cathcart.

Wondering how this impacts your home buying or selling decision? Are you interested in moving out of the province? Connect with me to discuss your options and for a trusted referral.⁠

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca

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October 2022 - Calgary Real Estate Market Update

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October sales eased compared to last year’s levels, mostly to slower activity in the detached sector. However, with 1,857 sales this month, levels are still stronger than long-term trends and activity reported prior to the pandemic. Year-to-date sales have reached 26,823 and with only 2 months to go, 2022 will likely post a record year in terms of sales.

New listings also trended down this month causing the sales-to-new-listings ratio to rise to 85% and inventories to trend down. Much of the inventory decline has been driven by product priced below $500,000. While conditions are not a tight as what was seen earlier in the year, with only 2 months of supply, conditions remain tighter than historical levels.

We are also seeing divergent trends in the market with conditions continuing to favour the seller in the lower-price ranges and shifting to more balanced conditions in the upper-price ranges. As of October, prices have eased by 4% relative to the highs reached in May. This is considered a relatively small adjustment when considering price movements in other large cities.

It is also important to note that the October benchmark price is still nearly 10% higher than levels reported last year.

Jason Streich⁠
Greater Calgary Real Estate⁠
403 807 2204⁠
jstriech@shaw.ca⁠ 

Read Full CREB Market Report
Home Evaluation Form
Search for your home today! 

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